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Federal data × LLM scoring

AI Career Stats

Diagnostic hub · SOC 15-2031.00

Will AI replace Operations Research Analysts?

Formulate and apply mathematical modeling and other optimizing methods to develop and interpret information that assists management with decisionmaking, policy formulation, or other managerial functions. May collect and analyze data and develop decision support software, services, or products. May develop and supply optimal time, cost, or logistics networks for program evaluation, review, or implementation.

Partially. Operations Research Analysts scores 57/100 — some core duties are highly automatable, but enough durable human work remains that the occupation is transforming rather than disappearing overnight.

Highly automated tasks

2

Tasks scored ≥ 80% automatable

Safer human tasks

1

Physical or <30% automation probability

Digital weight

80%

Share of scored tasks labeled digital

Academic Research Validation · Multi-Model Analysis

Multi-Model Benchmark Consensus

Independent cross-validation comparing AI Career Stats against OpenAI, UPenn, and Human Expert research for Operations Research Analysts.

Augmentation Bias Identified
Cross-framework review
Task-Weighted LLM Primary

AI Career Stats

Gemini 3.8 Flash

57 / 100
Moderate Exposure

O*NET task statements weighted by frequency and structural importance.

GPT-4 Direct Exposure

OpenAI / UPenn (α)

GPT-4 Zero-Shot

26 / 100
Moderate Exposure

Proportion of tasks where an LLM alone halves human task completion time.

GPT-4 + Software Tools

OpenAI / UPenn (β)

GPT-4 + Software Tooling

63 / 100
Moderate Exposure

Exposure when language models are augmented with domain APIs & software.

Annotator Consensus

Human Expert Panel

Subject Matter Panel

63 / 100
Moderate Exposure

Independent consensus scored by human domain and labor annotators.

Methodological Synthesis & Cross-Model Insights

Software Tooling Expansion Effect (+37 pts)

OpenAI / UPenn research measures an increase from 26/100 (standalone model) to 63/100 when AI is paired with external software applications. For Operations Research Analysts, task displacement is significantly amplified once agents can directly read, write, and execute across professional software ecosystems.

Comparative Analysis: AI Career Stats evaluates O*NET task statements with fine-grained task importance weights using Gemini 3.8 Flash, yielding an overall vulnerability score of 57/100. By comparison, independent human expert annotators rated this occupation at 63/100.

Exposure accelerates drastically when language models are coupled with specialized software tooling. Academic researchers define exposure as whether access to a state-of-the-art model reduces task completion time by at least 50% without quality degradation.

Source: Eloundou et al., "GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models"

OpenAI, OpenResearch & University of Pennsylvania Research Benchmark.

What the 57 / 100 score means

The score is an importance-weighted average of automation probabilities across the top 15 O*NET tasks for SOC 15-2031.00. 2 tasks score at or above 80% automatable; 1 fall into the safer band (under 30% or labeled physical). Roughly 80% of scored tasks are primarily digital.

Official BLS data places median pay for this occupation family at $88,940. with projected employment change of +11.9% over the latest 10-year outlook window. Typical entry education: Bachelor's degree.

Wage and growth context ($88,940, +11.9%) should be read alongside the AI score — not as a substitute for it.

Why this score

  • Overall automation risk is moderate-to-high because mathematical formulation, code generation, and data synthesis map exceptionally well to current LLM capabilities.
  • Technical modeling and report drafting represent the highest exposure, while direct executive collaboration and on-the-ground operational observation remain durable.
  • Analysts should adopt LLM-driven optimization frameworks this quarter to automate routine modeling pipelines and reallocate time toward cross-functional change management.

Most exposed duties

None of the top 15 tasks currently clear the ≥80% automation threshold — exposure is more diffuse across mid-range probabilities.

More durable work

Few tasks in this profile clear the “safe” threshold, which is why the aggregate score skews higher and why adjacent lower-risk careers deserve serious consideration.

Tooling Ecology · Software & AI Automation

Software & AI Copilot Matrix

Core technology stack, market demand, and generative AI copilot integrations for Operations Research Analysts.

8 of 8 (100%) AI-Augmented
8 in-demand hot technologies

Ecosystem Automation Summary: 8 of 8 core software tools (100%) currently feature direct AI copilot integrations or native machine intelligence. As enterprise software suites embed LLM capabilities directly into primary interfaces, productivity gains compress task hours without requiring workers to adopt standalone AI platforms.

Native AI Integration 🔥 In-Demand

Microsoft Excel

Spreadsheet software

Equipped with native machine learning models, intelligent autofill, or algorithmic classification features.

Native AI Integration 🔥 In-Demand

Microsoft Office software

Office suite software

Equipped with native machine learning models, intelligent autofill, or algorithmic classification features.

Native AI Integration 🔥 In-Demand

Microsoft Outlook

Electronic mail software

Equipped with native machine learning models, intelligent autofill, or algorithmic classification features.

Native AI Integration 🔥 In-Demand

Microsoft Power BI

Business intelligence and data analysis software

Equipped with native machine learning models, intelligent autofill, or algorithmic classification features.

Native AI Integration 🔥 In-Demand

Microsoft PowerPoint

Presentation software

Equipped with native machine learning models, intelligent autofill, or algorithmic classification features.

Active Copilot Available 🔥 In-Demand

Python

Object or component oriented development software

Direct generative copilot integration actively assists with drafting, synthesis, or automated workflow execution.

Native AI Integration 🔥 In-Demand

Salesforce software

Customer relationship management CRM software

Equipped with native machine learning models, intelligent autofill, or algorithmic classification features.

Active Copilot Available 🔥 In-Demand

Structured query language SQL

Data base user interface and query software

Direct generative copilot integration actively assists with drafting, synthesis, or automated workflow execution.

Source: O*NET 30.3 Software Skills & Labor Market Tech Tracking

Monitored technology competencies, employer demand tags, and enterprise AI integrations.

Defensibility Analysis · Physical & Social Moat

Automation Defense & Moat Breakdown

O*NET physical, social, and contextual insulation protecting Operations Research Analysts from software-only displacement.

42 / 100
Moderate Hybrid Moat

Physical Proximity & On-Site Presence

33/100

Requires tangible physical presence, spatial navigation, or on-site operation.

Insulation Level High Digital Exposure

Interpersonal & Face-to-Face Interaction

82/100

Requires direct human engagement, empathy, negotiation, or high-stakes care.

Insulation Level Strong Defense

Manual Dexterity & Psychomotor Agility

2/100

Requires fine-motor coordination, tool handling, tactile feedback, or dynamic physical control.

Insulation Level High Digital Exposure

Decision Autonomy & Cognitive Nuance

70/100

Requires unstructured decision-making, contextual judgment, and real-time adaptability.

Insulation Level Strong Defense

Labor Insulation Insight: Why Physical & Social Barriers Matter

Moderate Hybrid Moat: Operations Research Analysts combines digital administrative duties with human-centric physical or interpersonal responsibilities. While digital tasks face rapid copilot compression, direct face-to-face interaction and real-world judgment continue to require human authority.

Strongest Defense Pillar: Interpersonal & Face-to-Face Interaction (82/100)
Most Exposed Vector: Manual Dexterity & Psychomotor Agility (2/100)

Source: O*NET 30.3 Work Context & Abilities Framework

Evaluates Physical Proximity (4.C.2.a.3), Face-to-Face (4.C.1.a.2.l), and Agility metrics.

Labor Economics · Wage Ladder

Salary Spectrum & Earning Tiers

Federal OEWS compensation distribution for Operations Research Analysts.

Career Upside: +$96k (+181%)
Mean Wage: $95,600
10th Pct Entry

$52,930

Starting & baseline wage tier

25th Pct Early

$66,250

Established junior practitioner

50th Pct Median

$83,640

National benchmark benchmark

75th Pct Senior

$115,190

Experienced tier compensation

90th Pct Ceiling

$148,920

Top 10% highest earners

Middle 50% Spread: The middle half of Operations Research Analysts professionals earn between $66,250 and $115,190 (a $48,940 range).

OEWS National Survey Data

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (OEWS)

Annual wage estimates across all industries and ownership types.

Transition recommendation

Operations Research Analysts should pivot from routine model formulation and reporting toward strategic decision advisory and AI governance. Cultivating deep domain expertise in physical systems and mastering the translation of ambiguous stakeholder goals into robust optimization constraints will preserve long-term career durability.

One lower-risk path that shares overlapping O*NET work activities is Actuaries (AI risk 44, activity overlap 4%, median pay $130,000).

How we score Operations Research Analysts

We pull Core O*NET task statements for Operations Research Analysts, score each for Generative AI automation probability, weight by O*NET importance, and merge the result with BLS wages and employment projections on the SOC code. Full methodology, limitations, and prompt versioning are documented on the methodology page.

Full methodology & limitations · Open task breakdown

FAQ: Operations Research Analysts and Generative AI

Why does Operations Research Analysts score 57 / 100?

Overall automation risk is moderate-to-high because mathematical formulation, code generation, and data synthesis map exceptionally well to current LLM capabilities. Technical modeling and report drafting represent the highest exposure, while direct executive collaboration and on-the-ground operational observation remain durable. Analysts should adopt LLM-driven optimization frameworks this quarter to automate routine modeling pipelines and reallocate time toward cross-functional change management.

Will AI replace Operations Research Analysts?

Partially. Operations Research Analysts scores 57/100 — some core duties are highly automatable, but enough durable human work remains that the occupation is transforming rather than disappearing overnight. This is a task-exposure index, not a guarantee that hiring stops.

What is the AI automation risk score for Operations Research Analysts?

The score is an importance-weighted average of automation probabilities across the top 15 O*NET tasks for SOC 15-2031.00. 2 tasks score at or above 80% automatable; 1 fall into the safer band (under 30% or labeled physical). Roughly 80% of scored tasks are primarily digital.

Which Operations Research Analysts tasks are most exposed to Generative AI?

None of the top 15 tasks currently clear the ≥80% automation threshold — exposure is more diffuse across mid-range probabilities.

Which Operations Research Analysts tasks are safest from AI?

Few tasks in this profile clear the “safe” threshold, which is why the aggregate score skews higher and why adjacent lower-risk careers deserve serious consideration.

What does BLS project for Operations Research Analysts employment and pay?

Official BLS data places median pay for this occupation family at $88,940. with projected employment change of +11.9% over the latest 10-year outlook window. Typical entry education: Bachelor's degree. Wage and growth context ($88,940, +11.9%) should be read alongside the AI score — not as a substitute for it.

What should Operations Research Analysts workers do next?

Operations Research Analysts should pivot from routine model formulation and reporting toward strategic decision advisory and AI governance. Cultivating deep domain expertise in physical systems and mastering the translation of ambiguous stakeholder goals into robust optimization constraints will preserve long-term career durability.

How is this score calculated?

We pull Core O*NET task statements for Operations Research Analysts, score each for Generative AI automation probability, weight by O*NET importance, and merge the result with BLS wages and employment projections on the SOC code. Full methodology, limitations, and prompt versioning are documented on the methodology page.

How do physical presence and interpersonal skills protect Operations Research Analysts?

Operations Research Analysts demonstrates a hybrid defense profile (42/100, verdict: "Moderate Hybrid Moat"). While its digital and documentation workflows are exposed to generative AI compression, direct human-in-the-loop engagement (82/100) and contextual real-world adaptability provide a durable defensive moat against complete end-to-end automation. Interpersonal & Face-to-Face Interaction is the primary barrier (82/100), protecting human workers from algorithmic displacement.

What is the wage potential and salary ceiling for Operations Research Analysts?

Federal OEWS data reveals an earning spread of $95,990 from the 10th percentile ($52,930) to the 90th percentile ($148,920). The middle 50% of practitioners earn between $66,250 and $115,190. Compensation for Operations Research Analysts scales aggressively with cognitive specialization and unstructured decision autonomy (+181% upside). However, high-earning digital roles face heightened economic pressure: employers have strong financial incentives to deploy generative AI copilots to compress expensive cognitive task hours.

Do OpenAI and academic benchmarks agree on Operations Research Analysts automation risk?

Research identifies substantial augmentation dynamics for Operations Research Analysts. While standalone language models show direct exposure of 26/100, coupling AI models with domain-specific software tools and APIs drives exposure to 63/100 (+37 point uplift). This indicates that AI acts as an efficiency amplifier rather than a standalone replacement. Software tooling expansion increases exposure by +37 points (from 26/100 to 63/100), demonstrating that integrating AI into existing software suites significantly expands automated task throughput.

Lower-risk alternatives

One lower-risk path that shares overlapping O*NET work activities is Actuaries (AI risk 44, activity overlap 4%, median pay $130,000).

Full matrix

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